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多方圖謀七千八 法人順勢補空單
Aug 23rd 2013, 13:53

週四美股開高收高,激勵週五亞股的反彈走勢,其中日經的漲幅更一度逼近3%。台股在週四的年線攻防戰勝出後,週五跳空開高走高,低接買盤信心相當暢旺,而台指期開盤直接挑戰7800點,一度收斂週四的逆價差,可惜尾盤指數仍隨陸股下殺,終場實質逆價差仍有70點,所幸選擇權波動率

下滑,市場避險需求並未進一步升溫。

觀察法人籌碼變化,外資買超7.3億元,自營商買超4.9億元,投信買超8.3億元,三大法人合計買超20.5億元;在台指期淨部位方面,外資減碼淨空單3,458口至8,482口,自營商加碼淨多單18口至1,914口,三大法人減碼淨空單3,521口至4,322口,另外,前十大交易人也減碼淨空單1,896口至5,227口,顯示大額交易人先前的悲觀態度已稍有降溫。

週五台股成交量僅724億元,呈現價漲量縮的格局;而台指期軋空氣勢雖不弱,但盤中期現貨實質逆價差仍不小,突顯期貨市場對於後市看法相對保守的一面;若以日線格局來觀察,7700點之下的支撐力道不弱,頗有底部V型反轉的味道,若指數能再儘速站上短期均線,後市反彈力道才可望加大;另外值得注意的是,外資與自營商在期貨淨部位的佈局依然不同調,在現貨市場量縮之際,除了不免讓市場對於多方續航力打上問號以外,也恐增添盤中的震盪風險。

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